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    Confirmation bias (?)
    Posted on Sunday, January 30, 2005 @ 14:46:44 GMT by vlad

    Testimonials This message was posted on the hydrino yahoo list (Subject: Re: Evidence versus Static): Dear Luther,

    A terribly important article on 'confirmation bias' and its pertinence to the whole HSG business is by Prof. William Tiller in Vol. 10, issue 58 of "Infinite Energy" mag. He is a scientist of impeccable credentials, a Professor Emeritus of Stanford, author of over 250 scientific papers in peer-reviewed journals, and several books.

    Tiller shows that the experimenter's intention and belief can 'condition' a site so that the actual 'laws of physics' change in that site. (Since the IE article is not yet available on the web, I will quote two paragraphs from the 'Author Addendum'.)

    "Let us suppose that some inventor has worked for years in his garage to construct and perfect a subtle energy conversion device of extremely high effeciency and eventually, to his satisfaction, he is successful in achieving his goal. He then calls his close friends in and demonstrates his achievement to them. They see the experimental data with their own eyes and, in their excitement, plan to mount a business venture on the work. However, as part of the deal, this prototype equipment needs to be moved to an independent testing laboratory in a nearby city for rigorous evaluation by others. This is done and the tests are carried out carefully in this new location but, "surprise, surprise," the high conversion efficiencies of the original garage tests are not substantiated. Only normal behavior is observed in the device.

    "Most people concluded from this that the inventor was either (1) not a careful investigator, (2) was imagining his earlier results, or (3) was practicing fraud. In this, everybody makes the implicit assumption that one space for this experiment is the same as another, that one collection of equipment is the same as a set of physically identical equipment and that one careful experimenter is the same as another careful experimenter. Our accumulated data of the past seven years shows, unequivocally, that this assumption is false."

    The pertinence of these findings for both HSG and the whole field of LENR will be obvious to anyone who takes the time to study this article.

    Best,
    Don Hotson

     
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    "Confirmation bias (?)" | Login/Create an Account | 1 comment | Search Discussion
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    Re: Confirmation bias (?) (Score: 1)
    by ElectroDynaCat on Sunday, January 30, 2005 @ 18:35:18 GMT
    (User Info | Send a Message)
    If this were true, we would have to conclude that the Laws of Physics are different from one place to another, the only possible exception might be LENR, a device could function by the action of pi-mesons, but that would be completely dependent on altitude and availability of cosmic rays. That has been proven false also.



     

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