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    Emerging Technological Black Swans
    Posted on Wednesday, March 25, 2009 @ 20:59:28 GMT by vlad

    General The Black Swan theory (in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's version) refers to a large-impact, hard-to-predict, and rare event beyond the realm of normal expectations. Taleb regards many scientific discoveries as "black swans" — undirected and unpredicted. He gives the rise of the Internet, the personal computer, World War I, and the September 11, 2001 attacks as examples of Black Swan events...

    ...As an Internet-empowered futurist it is possible to see the long gestation of "Black Swans". It is also very do-able to develop a deeper understanding of specifics in a technology or science to more fully assess how impacts will enfold and what the limits or the potential are.

    Emerging Low Energy Nuclear Reactions, Blacklight Power, Jovion Power
    ...

    Full article: Emerging Technological Black Swans

     
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    "Emerging Technological Black Swans" | Login/Create an Account | 8 comments | Search Discussion
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    Bob Park Concedes: LENR is Real Science (Score: 1)
    by vlad on Saturday, March 28, 2009 @ 21:07:02 GMT
    (User Info | Send a Message) http://www.zpenergy.com
    From: New Energy Times [newenergytimes.com]/ Original reporting on leading-edge energy research and technologies

    WHAT’S NEW Robert L. Park Friday, 27 Mar 09 Washington, DC

    COLD FUSION: TWENTY YEARS LATER, IT’S STILL COLD.

    Monday was the 20th anniversary of the infamous press conference called by the University of Utah in Salt Lake City to announce the discovery of Cold Fusion. The sun warmed the Earth that day as it had for 5 billion years, by the high temperature fusion of hydrogen nuclei. Incredibly, the American chemical Society was meeting in Salt Lake City this week and there were many papers on cold fusion, or as their authors prefer LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). These people, at least some of them, look in ever greater detail where others have not bothered to look. They say they find great mysteries, and perhaps they do. Is it important? I doubt it. But I think it’s science.

    --------------------

    “Theories have four stages of acceptance: i) this is worthless nonsense;
    ii) this is an interesting, but perverse, point of view; iii) this is true, but quite unimportant; iv) I always said so.”
    — J.B.S. Haldane, 1963

    “When a new truth enters the world, the first stage of reaction to it is ridicule, the second stage is violent opposition, and in the third stage, that truth comes to be regarded as self-evident.” - Arthur Schopenhaurer (1788-1860)

     

    Journal of Scientific Exploration, Sept. 2008
    Review of “Voodoo Science: The Road From Foolishness to Fraud” [newenergytimes.com] by Robert L. Park, Oxford University Press, USA (November 15, 2001), ISBN-10: 0195147103




    Take a leap into hyperspace (Score: 1)
    by vlad on Saturday, April 04, 2009 @ 22:03:58 GMT
    (User Info | Send a Message) http://www.zpenergy.com

    EVERY year, the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics awards prizes for the best papers presented at its annual conference. Last year's winner in the nuclear and future flight category went to a paper calling for experimental tests of an astonishing new type of engine. According to the paper, this hyperdrive motor would propel a craft through another dimension at enormous speeds. It could leave Earth at lunchtime and get to the moon in time for dinner. There's just one catch: the idea relies on an obscure and largely unrecognised kind of physics. Can they possibly be serious?

    The AIAA is certainly not embarrassed. What's more, the US military has begun to cast its eyes over the hyperdrive concept, and a space propulsion researcher at the US Department of Energy's Sandia National Laboratories has said he would be interested in putting the idea to the test. And despite the bafflement of most physicists at the theory that supposedly underpins it, Pavlos Mikellides, an aerospace engineer at the Arizona State University in Tempe who reviewed the winning paper, stands by the committee's choice. "Even though such features have been explored before, this particular approach is quite unique," he says...

    More: http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg18925331.200-take-a-leap-into-hyperspa [www.newscientist.com]




     

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