Emerging Technological Black Swans
Date: Wednesday, March 25, 2009 @ 20:59:28 GMT
Topic: General

The Black Swan theory (in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's version) refers to a large-impact, hard-to-predict, and rare event beyond the realm of normal expectations. Taleb regards many scientific discoveries as "black swans" — undirected and unpredicted. He gives the rise of the Internet, the personal computer, World War I, and the September 11, 2001 attacks as examples of Black Swan events...

...As an Internet-empowered futurist it is possible to see the long gestation of "Black Swans". It is also very do-able to develop a deeper understanding of specifics in a technology or science to more fully assess how impacts will enfold and what the limits or the potential are.

Emerging Low Energy Nuclear Reactions, Blacklight Power, Jovion Power

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