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"Which scenario will trigger the 'doomsday'?" | Login/Create an Account | 8 comments
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Re: Which scenario will triger the (Score: 0)
by Anonymous on Sunday, October 19, 2003 @ 19:54:43 UTC

Proliferation of nonstandard weapons - homicide bombers, using jet airliners as cruise missiles, using oil tankers as torpedoes, U-Haul trucks as in-place bombs, etc.

Instead of fighting standing army vs standing army, we now have an enemy capable of blending into the civilian population and conducting long-term guerrilla warfare inside friendly territory using common household or farming chemicals for explosives. The cheaper the bomb, the easier it is to assemble, move, and detonate in the desired location. With such tactics "success" in warfare becomes an elusive term, as a distributed cell network, or even individuals, can carry on the "war" indefinitely.

A coordinated, multi-target low-tech high-yield attack that is multi-state or international within a close time frame could be a "doomsday" senario. 9/11/01 could be only the first in a new series of such attacks. A high-tech, costly response and prevention can only be held for a limited time even by the richest of governments. A way of government using its own population to make low-tech prevention could cut that cost. But that means increasing citizenship and individual heroism to combat fanatical mindsets.

If new energy devices become feasible, then history says that warfare is their first common use. Cheap power can lead to cheap EMP weapons. New chemical discoveries can lead to new explosive uses, or enhance current explosives.

Technology is a double-edged sword.

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